How Israel wages game theory warfare

By Jeff Gates
Online Journal Guest Writer


Aug 28, 2009, 00:25

In 2005, the Nobel Prize in Economic Science was awarded to Israeli mathematician and game theory specialist Robert J. Aumann, co-founder of the Center for Rationality at Hebrew University. This Jerusalem resident explains: “the entire school of thought that we have developed here in Israel” has turned “Israel into the leading authority in this field.”

Israeli strategists rely on game theory models to ensure the intended response to staged provocations and manipulated crises. With the use of game theory algorithms, those responses become predictable, even foreseeable -- within an acceptable range of probabilities. The waging of war “by way of deception” is now a mathematical discipline.

Such “probabilistic” war planning enables Tel Aviv to deploy serial provocations and well-timed crises as a force multiplier to project Israeli influence worldwide. For a skilled agent provocateur, the target can be a person, a company, an economy, a legislature, a nation or an entire culture -- such as Islam. With a well-modeled provocation, the anticipated reaction can even become a powerful weapon in the Israeli arsenal.

For instance, a skilled game theorist could foresee that, in response to a 9/11-type mass murder, “the mark” (the U.S.) would deploy its military to avenge that attack. With phony intelligence fixed around a preset goal, a game theory algorithm could anticipate that those forces might well be redirected to invade Iraq -- not to avenge 9/11 but to pursue the expansionist goals of Greater Israel.

To provoke that invasion required the displacement of an inconvenient truth (Iraq played no role in 9/11) with what lawmakers and the public could be deceived to believe. The emotionally wrenching nature of that incident was essential in order to induce Americans to abandon rational analysis and to facilitate their reliance on false intelligence.

Americans were (predictably) provoked by that mass murder. The foreseeable reaction -- shock, grief and outrage -- made it easier for them to believe that an infamous Iraqi Evil Doer was to blame. The displacement of facts with beliefs lies at heart of how Israel, the world’s leading authority in game theory, induces other nations to wage their wars.

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Comment by leilei on August 31, 2009 at 1:22am
You know, with you guys, sometimes I feel that I should provide you with documentation of a years worth of research along with a dissertation thesis (and maybe my college transcripts and curriculum vitae) proving that I truly "understand" your posts before commenting. Maybe it's just me. I may just be ignorant and far from well-read enough to participate, perhaps. *grin*
Comment by Marklar on August 31, 2009 at 1:20am
Well, I'm not sure that it's that great of an article but, personally I only heard of game theory being mentioned once before in an article and that was at least a year ago. So I feel safe in saying that it seems to be a little known subject in the realm of geopolitics and propaganda science, and therefore is an important article in light of the rarity of it's subject matter.
Comment by leilei on August 31, 2009 at 1:04am
Great article Marklar. I've never read Ostrovsky's The Other Side of Deception but By Way of Deception was a very good book, showing again and again how: "[Z]ionist Israelis/Mossad operate not from the Center for Morality or the Center for Justice but from the Center for Rationality." "The displacement of facts with beliefs lies at heart of how Israel, the world’s leading authority in game theory, induces other nations to wage their wars."
Comment by Marklar on August 31, 2009 at 1:04am
Oh, and put a quarter in the double negative jar.
Comment by Marklar on August 31, 2009 at 1:02am
Well, not as long as they get the article along with it. Just didn't want to bring any unnecessary criticism on Fearless before there are a even a few fans on Stickam to shout down the kind of fools that insist on misinterpereting everything. Plus we WERE at the two and a half hour mark there at the end and I figured enough is enough
Comment by truth on August 31, 2009 at 12:31am
Great article thanks for posting it Mark. I DONT BELIEVE ANY ONE WOULD NOT MISUNDERSTAND ITS INTENT.

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