Evidence seems to be mounting that we are headed towards some sort of implosion in the paper Gold market, and perhaps the currency/bond markets in general. Let’s take a look:

Jacksonville, FL based EverBank – a bank with approximately $8 billion in assets and 1800 employees according to the company website – recently sent this notice to customers (courtesy of Warren Bevan):

"Non-FDIC Insured Metals Select Changes" -

 

Section 6.3.7. General Terms: We have added language clarifying our right to close your account. We may close your Metals Select Account at anytime
upon reasonable notice to you. If we believe that it is necessary to
close your account immediately in order to limit losses by you or us [GG: We really don’t give a s**t about you; it’s us that we care about], we may close your account prior to providing notice to you. Notice from us to one of you is notice to all of you [GG: the nerve of these people!]. If
we close your account, we reserve the right to convert your Precious
Metals to U.S. dollars and tender the balance to you by mail [GG:
I am willing to bet my entire Gold stash that when you receive these
"converted" dollars, they will be nowhere near the market price of physical. What did you think that whole "limit losses" thing meant?] .

If you have a "Non FDIC Insured Metals Select" account with these people, you can pretty much say goodbye to any chances of ever seeing your metal. This is a clear sign that the (already tight) availability of physical metal at the manipulated Comex futures paper
price is in danger of vanishing altogether. Think about it. What is the
scenario in which they avoid catastrophic losses while at the same time
sending you the US dollar value of the metal? When the official or
Comex price has fully decoupled from the physical price. Expect to see more such notices from banks offering Metals "Investments".  

Citibank recently issued this notice to its checking account (remember the type of account where you thought you could withdraw your money whenever you wanted? Well, not anymore)
customers (via Market Ticker):

Withdrawal Notice:

 

We reserve the right to require seven (7) days advance notice before permitting a withdrawal from all checking, savings and money market
accounts. We currently do not exercise this right and have not
exercised it in the past.

Hmm…let me see. Why would a bank need to impose withdrawal restrictions? Has this kind of a thing happened before somewhere? Could it be because of the danger of a bank run/capital flight from the United States?  Why would Citibank fear bank runs? Why would money flee
the US banking system/US? Could it be because the entire US banking
system and the US Government is INSOLVENT and people - fearing a
collapse in the dollar’s value (in terms of real goods i.e. for all you
Prechterites out there) - rush to withdraw money convert it into real
goods such as precious metals? You tell me. Also, could they maybe
increase this notice period from seven to whatever the hell they want
whenever they want? What will you do then? Even if you don’t buy Gold
with it, withdrawing your cash from America’s insolvent banks is a very
wise strategy at this point.

One of Mish’s readers Construction Insider recently sent him this little nugget:

Hi Mish

I work in the construction business and something has been creeping to the forefront of my attention for the past few weeks and now it seems
to be moving full steam ahead.

 

Banks are forcing developers/builders (especially smaller ones) to give up their properties (unsold homes and lots).

 

Banks say the reason is that the properties in question are no longer performing assets. I am sure there are some loans out there that are
not performing and the owners are going under. I am equally sure that
there are plenty of developers that are still selling homes - just not
at the pace originally planned on the pro formas.

 

Having inside information on one of these scenarios that happened today, I cannot help but wonder what is really going on? The bank told a small
developer/builder I work for that they were taking back his ongoing
subdivision.

 

He is selling houses and updated pro formas would indicate that the current sales pace would exhaust all remaining lots within 33 months. Yet the bank stated they would only give him
until April 15 to find alternative financing. The bank is also willing
to let him buy the subdivision at a 33% discount to what is currently
owed.

 

If he is unable to obtain this backing, the bank will let him walk away without penalty or consequence so they can write it off.

 

I have been on the phone trying to put some of these pieces together. It seems there are many banks doing the same thing. However, there is
apparently no interest [or ability - Mish] from anyone wanting to pick
up land/lots at 30% - 50% discounts to today's prices.

 

Another interesting point is that the banks all state that they must have these situations written off or taken care of by the end of Q2.

Looks to me like DaBoyz are calling in the loans while the currency still has some value. Does the government plan some type of overt currency
devaluation or expect the dollar to collapse on the currency markets of
its own sorry weight? The cracks are already appearing in the Bond
market. Foreigners are increasingly fleeing the Treasury auctions. The
only thing keeping them going is manufactured "deflation" fears from
time-to-time. A recent 30 year auction (10th February, 2010 to be
precise) practically failed. This is what Mr. Denninger had to say about it:

Bad.  Actually, let's go worse than bad and call it what it is - by any definition this is just one step off from "Failed."

 

The more-worrying factor here is that we've got this "mystery" direct buyers out here again taking nearly 25% of the offered amount (who is
bidding for that undisclosed?) and another 11% taken down by The Fed
for the SOMA account.

 

Yet even with this Treasury had to pay up to get it to go and the bid-to-cover was anemic at best.

 

Given the Primary Dealer system we have in this country, any BTC under 2.0 is an effective fail.  To get an auction that behaves in this sort of
fashion, complete with mystery direct bidders and heavy SOMA (Fed)
participation, yet Treasury has to pay up in the form of a
significantly higher coupon is not a good sign at all.

And this is what happened on 23rd February, 2010 for a 4-week $37 billion Treasury Bill auction (Per Graham Summers):

There are times in life when one witnesses something so outside the scope of normal experience, that at first you don’t see it.

 

Captain Cook’s diaries tell us that upon first seeing his ships offshore in Australia, the aborigines expressed “neither surprise nor concern.”
Cook notes that it was not until he and his men approached the shore in
smaller, more familiar vessels that the villagers reacted, arming
themselves as “the sight of men in small boats was comprehensible to
them: it meant invasion.”

 

Well, I had a similar experience during yesterday’s bond auction.

 

Roughly, 27% of the auction took place at the highest rate. This means nearly one third of the demand from competitive bidders (those who care about
yield) came at the HIGHEST yield that was accepted. In plain terms,
this alone tells you that investors want higher yields from Treasuries
since nearly a full third of the debt issuance took place at the
highest REQUIRED yield.

Of the competitive bids (meaning those bids coming from folks who care about yield), roughly 70% went to Primary Dealers (investors who HAVE to buy the debt and who usually
turn around and try to sell it afterwards). To put this number into
perspective here is the percentage of competitive purchases made by
Primary Dealers in the last four 4-week Treasury issuances:

Yesterday's auction featured MORE buys from Primary Dealers than almost any of those occurring in 2010. Remember, Primary Dealers HAVE to buy Treasuries. So
to see them buying a high percentage of Treasuries at debt auctions
means that few investors who can pick and choose what to buy are
actually looking to buy US debt.

 

Of the remaining competitive buys (about $8.86 billion), only 32% came from Direct Bidders or those who bought debt directly from the Treasury: orders
that can easily be tracked. The other 68% ($5.9 billion) came from
Indirect Bidders: folks who we cannot track.

 

Even more bizarre, only $5.9 billion in Indirect Bidder competitive buys were ACTUALLY OFFERED. So we had a 100% acceptance rate for Indirect Bidder
competitive buys.

Let’s put this in perspective:

This means that the Treasury took up EVERY single cent of competitive bids coming from indirect buyers. Remember, indirect buyers are usually
assumed to be foreign governments (even the Treasury website admits
this).

 

If this was the case yesterday, then foreign governments barely bought much of anything in yesterday’s auction (only 19% of total debt issued). Moreover, it implies that Primary Dealers
(those having to buy) had to gorge on the auction to make up for the
fact that few if any foreign governments are interested in buying our
debt anymore (including even short-term debt).

So basically the demand from the indirects (i.e. foreigners) for US Debt is drying up and the Treasury is taking all of whatever miniscule
amounts they are offering. As if that was not enough, we had another
similar auction on 9th Match, 2010 (via zerohedge):

Two weeks after the indirect hit ratio in the 4 week auction came at a record 100%, today it was once again at almost at the all time possible
high, with Indirect Bids of just $6.744 billion taking down $6.683
billion, resulting in a 99.1% hit ratio. The chart of the recent
Indirect hit ratio in recent 4 week bill auctions is attached:

What’s more, the yield doubled from two weeks ago. What we are witnessing here, in my opinion, is the beginning moves of a complete and total repudiation of the US Bond market, and indeed, all dollar
denominated paper financial assets.

 

Jim Sinclair recently had two gentlemen from Poland and Russia speak up at his Toronto meeting. This is what they had to say (in Jim’s words):

Dear Extended Family,

 

I believe the most important event at our Toronto CIGA meeting was the testimony of two attendees.

 

Two men spoke independently. One is a Canadian resident from Russia and the other from Poland.

Both said the same thing, "All the signs that preceded our inflation of more than 100% per year are here now in the West."

What more do you need to know?

Regards, 

Jim

Any unbiased observer who knows how to put two and two together will be able to tell that something very fishy is going on. The urgency with which trillions in debt is being shoved down the market's throat at the worst possible time for the US
Economy has the distinct smell of the government trying to extract
every last bit of money from those stupid enough to buy the bonds
before it all blows up. Rest assured, a huge chunk of this money is
being funneled to the insiders who are most likely covertly using it up
to buy real assets for themselves while keeping the crowds distracted
with the stock market circus.

 

The bond market is the backbone of the US Ponzi Finance system. When it goes – and the day is not far in my opinion - the whole enchilada will come crashing down.
Any type of financial asset that has a counterparty – which is pretty
much all the paper assets in the world – bonds, futures, any and all
derivatives and yes, even the paper currency – will crash. What will
they crash against? Yes, that’s right - Gold. All the world’s capital –
trillions, perhaps quadrillions of it - will come rushing into the very
tiny physical (NOT paper) Gold market. Remember, the world’s
real physical capital – real assets such as land, oil-refineries,
mines, infrastructure, etc. will not vanish, only it will be re-priced
in terms of Gold and its ownership transferred to those who hold it.
Since everything stays on this planet, it is a zero-sum game and the
winner will be Gold. In other words, an ounce of physical Gold will command a lot
more in real purchasing power than it does today. Just like a national
currency is a claim on goods and assets within that country, Gold will
be a claim on global goods and assets worldwide.

 

Paper Gold Will FAIL

 

Today what you think of the price of Gold is nothing but the price of paper Gold. "What is the difference between the two? We are still getting the metal at the price we see on the COMEX, are we not?", you may ask.
Sure, but the key word is still. Even today you have to pay
"premium" to the futures price to get physical ranging from about $50
for some coins to about $10 for bars. When it all blows, these
“premiums” will skyrocket and the price of physical WILL decouple from
the official paper price (this is what the guys at EverBank
are scared s--tless about), as we already witnessed in 2008 – and this
is the good scenario. Indeed, we may have a situation where there is no
physical available at any paper price. 

 

1. The GLD ETF

 

The problems with the GLD ETF are too numerous to enlist here but why bother when they have already mentioned 'em all in their prospectus! It is simply another Wall Street scam designed to rip off the retail investor and rest assured, when the SHTF, you will be the last in line
since the insiders need somebody to hold the bag in order for them to
get bailed out. YOU will be the one left holding the bag. Unless you
have a direct line to Ben Bernanke, I suggest you get the hell out of
any paper ETF’s such as GLD, SLV, etc. Remember AIG? It’s all good
until it isn’t.

 

2. The Gold Futures Market

 

The futures market is nothing but a tool for the dollar managers (US Government/Fed/Bullion banks) to manage/control the price of Gold. Any
rational observer with an iota of brain who has watched the gold market
for any reasonable length of time can tell that the price is intentionally driven
down during the Comex trading hours. If you don’t believe this, either
you’re in denial or worse – collusion - and IT WILL end up costing you
big time. Given the massive, concentrated and long-term (the entire
past decade - they haven't been net-long - not once
- during that time period) nature of their short positions, it really
isn’t that hard to deduce that the banks do not nearly have enough
metal to cover their shorts and that the sole intention of the massive
short position is to control the price. Whenever the price rises (or
threatens to rise) the big bullion banks ala JP Morgan create massive
naked shorts introducing fake supply of Gold in the market, thus
driving the price down. “But the price has been rising for the past
decade, hasn’t it? So how can you say they are driving it down?”, many
people ask. Well, the constraint on the bullion banks has been the
availability of the physical metal. If the metal is not available, the
fraud of the paper market is exposed and they lose their price managing
ability. So they allow the price rise to a level at which there are
some weak hands willing to sell and then they hold it there till all
the sellers have been exhausted (I am assuming the Fed has already sold
all the US Gold during the past decade). So strong are Gold’s
fundamentals that despite the massive rigging, all they have been able
to do is slow its rise. The weak hands who sell the physical metal at
every price rise have helped them in this endeavor. But soon, as the
bond market implodes, they will run out of sellers. Treat the
availability of real metal at today's paper price a gift and buy as
much as you can.

To those who think that the Comex shorts will be crushed one day and the price of paper Gold will do a moonshot, to them I will say that you are dreaming. The Comex shorts will be crushed, but not in their own casino! If and when
a majority of paper Gold longs demand delivery a force majure
(who do you think the US Government will side with?) will be declared
with cash settlements and/or offers of equally worthless GLD shares
(don’t tell me you didn’t know about this). By some accounts,
this is already happening. What will happen to the paper price then?
That’s right – it will utterly collapse even as the physical’s price is
rocketing. Paper gold holders will dump it all to buy the physical –
which, unfortunately – will most likely not be available at all. Yes,
yours truly has been trading the paper [Gold] markets himself, but only
with the objective of converting the paper profits onto the metal.
Having said that, in light of the sum total of the recent developments
mentioned in this update I think it is too risky to be trading right
now and one should just sit 100% in physical Gold and some currency for
day-to-day needs. 

Additionally, there is increasing evidence that the Europeans have withdrawn support from Wall Street’s paper Gold market (COMEX and the LBMA, which also operates on a
fractional reserve basis as documented here)
and are in favor of setting up a physical only Gold market (this is
quite a long story - for details, I suggest you go through FOFOA’s blog). Jim Willie had this to say in a recent piece (he’s been accurate on many things so far, so I at least pay attention when he has something to say): 

Fast approaching is the event of GAME OVER for London, a condition that has already reached critical level, according to a key reliable source of
information with London connections and direct experience with its
market events. How long can a major metals exchange sell contracts but
have miniscule supply of gold in their vaulted possession? The paper
gold market and the physical gold bullion market have finally separated
in a practical manner, meaning actual gold has almost no role anymore
in London paper contract settlement. The absence of gold in London
requires extraordinary tactics to settle contracts and to obtain gold
bullion. Red tape procedures delay delivery for individuals, and bribes
accompany gold delivery demands as standard practice. The London
Bullion Market Assn has almost zero gold, its supply having been
drained in high volumes since early December, a process currently in
acceleration. The opportunity to convert fiat money into precious metal
at prices considered reasonable is also vanishing. The London gold
banker said,

 

"There is going on a lot more than meets the eye. The physical system is actually consolidating bigtime and is organizing itself with lightning speed, totally hidden from
pretty much anyone, even the so-called insiders. The paper precious
metal market and the physical precious metal market have defacto
disconnected. The paper and physical gold markets currently operate in
parallel universes. The outflow of physical metal from bank vaults is
happening at a mind bending pace."

Wall Street and the US Dollar are being increasingly marginalized at the global level with China having instructed its companies to renege
on Wall Street’s derivative contracts last year; Russia, Middle-East
and China setting up their regional currency blocs; Germany calling for an end to the CDS casino and the recent exclusion
of Wall Street banks from European Government bond market. For obvious
reasons, none of this is getting much play in the lapdog US media.

 

Physical Gold in your personal possession is the only thing that will survive the coming financial Armageddon. What we are witnessing right now is nothing but the calm
before the storm. Keen observers are hearing rumblings beneath the
ground signaling an imminent volcanic eruption. Once it blows it will
be too late to take action. Trading paper markets for paper gains is
like picking up pennies in front of the steamroller. It’s time to stop
trading and just buy the physical metal. The window of opportunity to
convert your casino chips (fiat money) into real money, i.e. Gold, is
getting smaller by the hour. He who panics first, panics best.