Will The USD Be Replaced By The SDR Or The CNY As The Next Reserve Currency?

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/will-usd-be-replaced-sdr-or-cny-ne...


Jim O'Neill, who did not make any friends within the bear community earlier today, has written an interesting paper on the IMF's Special Drawing Rights, and whether this hypernational
currency can ever become a reserve currency as is, and/or with the CNY
as a constituent member. While O'Neill as usual focuses on the angle of
the "next paradigm" BRICs, and how they will increasingly dominate
global economics, he does pose an important question: with the dollar
likely to suffer the side effects of either hyperdeflation,
hyperinflation, or hyperstagflation, will the next reserve currency be
a diluted melange of other flawed fiat constructs (i.e., the SDR), or
the currency of the one country, which for all its flaws, still has the
cleanest balance sheet backing its own fiat construct. On the other
hand, the question of whether this analysis is moot to begin with, and
the world will revert to the gold standard as the ongoing crisis of
confidence in all paper money flares up, is not raised even once... We
wonder (not really) what Jim O'Neill would have to say on that
particular issue.

Here are the main bullets:

  • The issue of the ‘international reserve currency’ and the possible role of the IMF’s Special Drawing Rights (SDR) has moved from obscurity to the
    centre of discussions about the future.
  • Given China’s importance in terms of its share of world trade, the CNY should now be part of the SDR. The case for including it can only become more obvious
    as this decade progresses.
  • However, actually including the CNY as a constituent of the SDR is likely to remain a challenge without the CNY becoming more widely used internationally, including as a reserve
    asset.
  • The case for including other BRIC currencies in the SDR, especially the RUB, is also likely to become stronger over the coming decade.
  • Although the Dollar will probably not be as dominant in 2020 as it is today, it is far from clear that it needs to be replaced by the SDR—or by anything else—as the main reserve currency.
  • For the SDR to be attractive to private users, it will need to include the CNY and possibly other BRIC currencies. However, this alone would not
    guarantee that the SDR would be more attractive to private investors.

The paper is a critical follow up to anyone who found Albert Edward's earlier analysis of collapsing global FX reserves relevant. GS SDR Currencies




Full .PDF seen here

Views: 59

Reply to This

"Destroying the New World Order"

TOP CONTENT THIS WEEK

THANK YOU FOR SUPPORTING THE SITE!

mobile page

12160.info/m

12160 Administrators

 

Latest Activity

tjdavis posted a blog post
9 hours ago
Doc Vega posted blog posts
14 hours ago
Doc Vega commented on Doc Vega's blog post In Disarray
"cheeki kea Thanks for your support! "
18 hours ago
Burbia commented on Burbia's photo
21 hours ago
Burbia commented on Burbia's video
Thumbnail

IT’S OVER! Trump OBLITERATES IRS as Social Security Just Changed FOREVER!

"The IRS has lost almost one-third of its tax auditors after 2 months of DOGE cuts, report…"
yesterday
Burbia posted videos
yesterday
cheeki kea favorited Doc Vega's blog post In Disarray
yesterday
Burbia commented on Burbia's photo
Thumbnail

What's in Macron's hand? Cocaine bag?

"Russian Spokesperson Maria Zakharova Responds to Macron, Merz, and Starmer’s…"
yesterday
rlionhearted_3 favorited cheeki kea's photo
yesterday
rlionhearted_3 commented on cheeki kea's photo
Thumbnail

remember those days..

"True Story "
yesterday
Doc Vega favorited cheeki kea's photo
yesterday
Doc Vega commented on cheeki kea's photo
Thumbnail

remember those days..

"Ha ha Good one and just about the truth! "
yesterday
Less Prone favorited Burbia's photo
yesterday
tjdavis posted a photo
Monday
cheeki kea commented on rlionhearted_3's status
"Keep the posts coming lionhearted they are all arrive in good form at least in my lonely corner of…"
Sunday
cheeki kea commented on rlionhearted_3's status
"I'll try this..."
Sunday
cheeki kea commented on Burbia's photo
Thumbnail

What's in Macron's hand? Cocaine bag?

" Perhaps a tissue he's used to wipe his nose could be a possibility. Seems what ever it…"
Sunday
rlionhearted_3 commented on Burbia's photo
Thumbnail

What's in Macron's hand? Cocaine bag?

"I’m wondering if anyone on this site has seen anything I’ve ever posted?"
Sunday
Burbia commented on Burbia's photo
Sunday
Burbia commented on Burbia's photo
Thumbnail

What's in Macron's hand? Cocaine bag?

"Macron picks up white powdery substance next to glass of water"
Sunday

© 2025   Created by truth.   Powered by

Badges  |  Report an Issue  |  Terms of Service

content and site copyright 12160.info 2007-2019 - all rights reserved. unless otherwise noted