THE FUTURE IS COMING ??
1 — Auto repair shops will disappear…
2 — A gas/diesel engine has 20,000 individual parts… An electrical motor has 20… Electric cars are sold with lifetime guarantees and are repaired only by dealers… It takes only 10 minutes to remove and replace an electric motor…
3 — Faulty electric motors are NOT repaired in the dealership but are sent to a regional repair shop that repairs them with ROBOTS…
4 — Your electric motor malfunction light goes on – so you drive up to what looks like a car wash, and your car is towed through while you have a cup of coffee… Then your car comes out on the other side with a new electric motor or component…
5 — Gas stations will go away…
6 — Street corners will have meters that dispense electricity… Companies will install electrical recharging stations … in fact, they’ve already started in the developed world…
7 — Smart major auto manufacturers have already designated money to start building new plants that build ONLY electric cars…
8 — The “Coal Industries” will go away… Gasoline/oil companies will go away… Drilling for oil will stop… So say goodbye to OPEC… The Middle East is in trouble…
9 — Homes will produce and store more electrical energy during the day then they use… It will be sold back to “The Grid”… The Grid will store and dispenses it, to the industries that are high electricity users. Has anybody seen the Tesla roof??
10 — A baby of today will only see “personal cars” in museums. The FUTURE is approaching faster than most of us can even handle…
11 — In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide… Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt… Who would have thought of that ever happening??
12 — What happened to Kodak and Polaroid will happen in a lot of industries in the next 5–10 years … and most people don’t even see it coming…
13 — Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later, you would never take pictures on film again? With today’s smartphones, who even has a camera these days??
14 — Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975… The first ones only had 10,000 pixels but followed Moore’s law… As with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment in the beginning … before it became superior and mainstream in only a few short years…
15 — It will now happen again (but much faster) with Artificial Intelligence (AI), health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs…
16 — Forget the book, “Future Shock,” welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution…
17 — Software has disrupted and will continue to disrupt most traditional industries … (in the next 5 to 10 years…
18 — UBER is just a software tool (they don’t own any cars), and are now the biggest taxi company in the world… (Ask any taxi driver if they saw that coming… )
19 — AIR-BnB is now the biggest hotel company in the world … (they don’t own any properties)… Ask Hilton Hotels or the Marriott if they saw that coming…
20 — Artificial Intelligence (AI): Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world… This year, a computer beat the best Go-player in the world … (10 years earlier than expected)…
21 — In the USA, young lawyers already don’t get jobs (because of IBM’s, WATSON) … you can get legal advice within a few seconds so far the basic stuff … with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans… So, if you’re studying law, STOP IMMEDIATELY… There will be 90% fewer lawyers in the future, what a thought and only omniscient specialists will remain…
22 — WATSON already helps nurses diagnosing cancer … it’s 4 times more accurate and many times faster than human nurses…
23 — Facebook now has a ‘face recognition’ software that can recognize faces better than humans… In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans…
24 — Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars were already here… In the next few years, the entire auto industry will start to be disrupted… You won’t want to own a car any more as you will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination…
25 — You will not need to park it, you will pay only for the ‘driven distance’ and you can be productive while driving. The very young children of today will never get a driver’s license and they will never own a car…
26 — This will change our cities because we will need 90% to 95% fewer cars… We can transform former parking spaces into green city parks…
27 — About 1.2 million people die each year in car accidents (worldwide). That includes distracted or drunk drivers… We currently have one accident every 60,000 miles driven… However with autonomous driving that will drop to 1 accident in about 6 million miles… That will save a million plus lives, worldwide each year…
28 — Most traditional car companies will doubtless become bankrupt… They will try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car … while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels…
29 — Look at what Volvo is doing right now … no more internal combustion engines in their vehicles starting this year with the 2020 models… They are using all-electric or hybrid only (with the intent of phasing out hybrid models in the not too distant future)…
30 — Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi are completely terrified of Tesla… Look at all the companies offering all-electric vehicles… That was unheard of, only a few years ago…
31 — Insurance companies will have massive trouble too … because, without accidents, the costs of insurance will become cheaper… Their car insurance business model will disappear…
32 — Real estate will change… Because if you can work while you commute, or you can work from your home … people will abandon their towers to move far away to more beautiful and affordable properties.
33 — Electric cars will become mainstream by about 2030… Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run ONLY on electricity…
34 — Cities will have much cleaner air…
35 — Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean, eventually free…
REALLY?
36 — Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years … but you can now see the burgeoning impact … and it’s just starting to get ramped up…
37 — Fossil energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid … to prevent competition from home solar installations … but that simply cannot continue… Technology will take care of that strategy in the not too distant future…
38 — Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year… There are companies who will build a medical device called the “Tricorder” from Star Trek that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan, a sample of your blood, then you breathe into it… It then analyzes 54 biomarkers that will identify nearly any disease… There are dozens of phone apps out there right now for health…
Comment
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Comment by Doc Vega on March 25, 2021 at 2:20pm
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Chris of the Family Masters I always appreciate your articles and insights. Don't worry, I'd rather shoot myself than the messenger.
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Comment by Chris of the family Masters on March 25, 2021 at 6:35am
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Good analyses Doc. Thank you and don't shoot the messenger....
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1)You optimism fails to take into account the loss of jobs due to automation.
2)You fail to take into account that the US electrical grid is already over taxed and due for infrastructure upgrade and is incapable of sustaining the demand of thousands of electrical cars recharging.
3)Each electrical battery alone has 30 times the carbon footprint of a fossil fueled vehicle.
4)Photo Voltaic cells only generate electricity when exposed to light not under clouds, rain, or snow storms when the demand is crucial. They require a lot of square footage that many cities and counties do not have in order to create enough power.
5)Solar panel facilities can blind pilots flying over them as well.
6) Wind turbines are susceptible to high winds where the propellers can go rogue and fly off creating deadly wreckage.
7) Wind turbines have been known to freeze up in the winter and catch fire if the clutch and generator jam. Two technicians were burned to death caught up inside one of these towering monstrosities that also cause bird strikes that take their toll on several species.
8)Green energy is sporadic at best and will not be sufficient during peak load hours as we found out in Texas during the polar winter storm that froze the state and actually killed people. Especially during the demand created in summers accross the southwest US but really all across the country which in the event of failure might even cause more deaths when heat waves occur.
9)The fossil fuel industry accounts for 9 million American jobs 100 thousand in the state of Louisiana alone. These people will not find it easy or convenient to find new jobs suddenly.
10) Lithium batteries which seem all the rage right now, can become suddenly unstable and catch fire. The NTSB unable to solve several plane crashes found out that these planes were storing pallet loads of Lithium batteries that caught fire. Imagine a huge Lithium storage facility catching fire during a peak load periods.
11) Sorry but it would be hard for me to trust the authorities when it comes to trusting the bastards over not owning a vehicle and enxt they will be after property ownership which they are already trying to take away from us.
12)How are most people going to be able to afford 100 thousand dollars per vehicle? Most of us have a hard time buying a ten thousand dollar used car cash.
13) Ford already developed an electric car that ren perfectly in 1978 along with a hydrogen vehicle that was simply an adapted LTD II but it would get vapor lock and stall and they could never figure out how to overcome that problem. The electric prototype had an electric motor on each wheel, when braking it was designed to help recharge the battery, but the battery did account for over 1 thousand pounds of over all vehicle weight. The car was fact and quiet and Ford worried that pedestrian accidents could result from people simply not hearing the electric car.
14) In the event of a wreck as was found with Tesla those cars burn like a paint factory.
I see advantages of electric cars and renewable energy but it is not yet ready for massive replacement of conventional energy which is actually burning much cleaner such as natural gas which the US has virtually unlimited capacity of.
15) Do you remember in the 1960's they were talking about individual houses being fitted with fuel cells so there would be no need for a massive electrical grid. I wonder what happened to that idea?
As always the biggest concern will be how the powers that be will attempt to control all of these developments.
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Comment by cheeki kea on March 25, 2021 at 2:39am
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- Yes futures already here. In 2012 I talked with friends on how we'll survive big brother and the Control that would come with it. 'Smart Meters' were talk of the day back then. When we looked at places to escape the apocalypse and evil to come we soon realised they had 90% of the land Covered and all of the internet. We were trace and trace items already. (electric companies would know if we were home and could Sell that info to third parties unknown was our big concern back then) When I think of those old fearful issues now they all pale into invisibility compared with what we've got now a decade later. We will see many Vaxxed then Owned then they will come for us. However I've still got the analogue meter going at my retreat and can declare victory over that war. I know the of 5% of land uncovered (other 5 is indigenous) where the water is good and gps smart phones are unreliable at best so I'm always planning my move Away from the new things to come because there's always a Big price to pay in the end. I suggest everyone have an escape plan to somewhere - or get chipped and become part of the machine.
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