http://abcnews.go.com/Business/economists-warn-financial-us-economy...

Even as many Americans still struggle to recover from the country's worst economic downturn since the Great Depression, another crisis – one that will be even worse than the current one – is
looming, according to a new report from a group of leading economists,
financiers, and former federal regulators.

In the report, the panel, which includes Rob Johnson of the United Nations Commission of Experts on Finance and bailout watchdog Elizabeth Warren,
warns that financial regulatory reform measures proposed by the Obama
administration and Congress must be beefed up to prevent banks from
continuing to engage in high-risk investing that precipitated the
near-collapse of the U.S. economy in 2008.

The report warns that the country is now immersed in a "doomsday cycle" wherein banks use borrowed money to take massive risks in an attempt to pay big dividends to shareholders and big bonuses to
management – and when the risks go wrong, the banks receive taxpayer
bailouts from the government.

"Risk-taking at banks," the report cautions, "will soon be larger than ever."

Without more stringent reforms, "another crisis – a bigger crisis that weakens both our financial sector and our larger economy – is more than
predictable, it is inevitable," Johnson says in the report,
commissioned by the nonpartisan Roosevelt Institute.

The institute's chief economist, Nobel Prize-winner Joseph Stiglitz, calls the report "an important point of departure for a debate on where we are on the road to regulatory reform."

The report blasts some of Washington's key players. Johnson writes, "Our government leaders have shown little capacity to fix the flaws in our
market system." Two other panelists, Simon Johnson, a professor at MIT,
and Peter Boone of the Centre for Economic Performance, voiced similar
criticisms.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner "oversaw policy as the bubble was inflating," write Johnson and Boone, and "these same men are now designing our 'rescue.'"

The study says that "In 2008-09, we came remarkably close to another Great Depression. Next time we may not be so 'lucky.' The threat of the doomsday cycle remains strong and growing," they say.
"What will happen when the next shock hits? We may be nearing the stage
where the answer will be – just as it was in the Great Depression – a
calamitous global collapse."

The panelists call for major banks to maintain liquid capital of at least 15 to 25 percent of their assets, the enactment of stiffer
consequences for executives of bailout recipients and for government
officials to start breaking up firms that grow too big.

In the report, Elizabeth Warren, who was chair of the Congressional Oversight Panel, reiterates her calls for an independent agency to protect consumers from abusive Wall Street practices.

"While manufacturers have developed iPods and flat-screen televisions, the financial industry has perfected the art of offering mortgages,
credit cards and check overdrafts laden with hidden terms that obscure
price and risk," Warren writes. "Good products are mixed with dangerous
products, and consumers are left on their own to try to sort out which
is which. The consequences can be disastrous."

Frank Partnoy, a panelist from the University of San Diego, claims that "the balance sheets of most Wall Street banks are fiction." Another panelist, Raj Date of the Cambridge Winter Center for Financial
Institutions Policy, argues that government-backed mortgage giants
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have become "needlessly complex and
irretrievably flawed" and should be eliminated. The report also calls
for greater competition among credit rating agencies and increased
regulation of the derivatives market, including requiring that
credit-default swaps be traded on regulated exchanges.

With the Senate Banking Committee, led by Chris Dodd, D-Conn., poised to unveil its financial regulatory reform proposal sometime in the next
week, the report calls on Congress to enact reforms strong enough to
prevent another meltdown.

"Sen. Dick Durbin once said the banks 'owned' the Senate," says Johnson. "The next few weeks will determine whether or not that statement is true."

In response to the report, a spokesman for the Treasury Department told ABC News that the administration's regulatory reform proposals would be the most significant Wall Street overhaul in
generations.

"We laid out our strong principles of reform last June and we have been fighting every day since to see them enacted in law," said Treasury spokesman Andrew Williams. "While we have a tough fight ahead,
we are getting close to seeing Congress pass the most significant
overhaul of the financial sector in our lifetimes."