Considering the rapidly increasing number of confirmed swine flu cases, WHO officials have decided to raise the pandemic alert level to phase 5.

Swine Influenza (swine flu) caused by type A influenza, regularly leads to influenza outbreaks among pigs. The virus does not normally infect humans.

Confirmed sufferers in the United States and Mexico, however, are believed to have spread the disease to their families and others in close contact.

The alert level was increased to 4 on Monday, and WHO officials now say they will be forced to declare a phase 5 alert soon.

"We're still awaiting for a final confirmation from the US authorities, but it appears that there's a number of cases in New York which appear to be human-to-human transmission," WHO spokesman Gregory Hartl told a news briefing.

The United Nations agency also raised its alert level to 4 on Monday as the virus was detected in several European countries.

Mexican authorities say the new strain has killed up to 149 people in Mexico. About 64 confirmed cases have been reported in five US states.

http://www.presstv.ir/detail.aspx?id=92842&sectionid=3510212

Also Confirmed by the LA TIMES !!
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-sci-swine-flu29-2...

Phase-1
None of the virus circulating among animals has caused infections in humans.

Phase-2:
A circulating animal virus that has caused infections in humans, thus having a potential pandemic threat.

Phase-3:
Sporadic cases or small outbreaks of disease in humans, but does not have enough transmission capacity from person to person.

-Phase 4:
Transmission from person to person capable of causing outbreaks at the community level. Significant increase in the risk of a pandemic.

-Stage 5:
The virus is transmitted from person to person in at least two countries in a WHO region. The pandemic is imminent.

-Stage 6:
A global epidemic is in progress.

Bloomberg- "A pandemic, rated 6 on the WHO’s alert system, is an unexpected outbreak of a new contagious disease that spreads from person-to-person across borders. In such cases, almost no one has natural immunity."

From:http://wcbstv.com/ Bloomberg also said health officials are looking for cases of swine flu outbreak in other parts of the City. He stressed that the cases in New York were mild and many are recovering, but also said that parents of the students also had flu symptoms, "suggesting it is spreading person to person."

"We're looking at this minute-to-minute, hour-to-hour, day-to-day," said Dr. Thomas Frieden, New York Health Commissioner.

More than 100 students at St. Francis Preparatory School in Queens were suddenly hit with fever, sore throat and other aches and pains. Preliminary lab results came back positive for swine flu in eight tests, and the CDC confirmed the results.

"What's concerning about this, is that it is likely swine flu. Second, at this time, it is spreading from person to person," Frieden said.

And students at the school are taking notice. "So many kids getting sick all in one day its something unexpected," said student Philip Pantoja.

Views: 38

Replies to This Discussion

Level 5 is the military driving up to your home in a Humvee and at gun point vaccinating you with liquid death.

level 6 is if you survive to see level 6 is worse that what you have seen in the movies, if they confirm your sick they kill you by tossing you into an incinerator.
II hope not TLS, but fear you may be correct.
Schwarzenegger, Obama ramp up efforts against swine flu

From the LA Times !!!

As isolated outbreaks of swine flu continue to be confirmed around the world, with new cases reported today in Canada, Israel, France, New Zealand, Costa Rica and South Korea, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger proclaimed a state of emergency and the White House asked Congress for an additional $1.5 billion to fight the outbreak.

The emergency proclamation orders all state agencies and employees to provide all possible assistance to the Department of Public Health, authorizes that department to enter any necessary contracts for materials and services to combat the outbreak, makes it easier to purchase materials and waives some certification requirements for public health laboratories.

State health officials have been aggressively working to combat the outbreak, and the proclamation is simply one more step in that effort, not an indication that the outbreak here has become more severe.

The enhanced federal money would cover the production of a vaccine, increased production of antiviral agents, among other things.

"In our opinion, this is about prudent planning moving forward," White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs told reporters.


The total number of cases in the United States has now reached 67 and worldwide has climbed to more than 100, not counting the still-unknown number of cases in Mexico. At least some of the new cases, moreover, appear to have risen from human-to-human transmission outside Mexico.

Such community transmission is one of the early earmarks of a pandemic, and if it continues to be observed, experts predicted, the World Health Organization is likely to raise its alert to Level 5, from the currently elevated Level 4. Such an increase might involve more travel restrictions and stronger efforts to control the spread of the virus.

At a morning press conference in Geneva, Dr. Keiji Fukuda, assistant director-general of WHO, said a pandemic is not inevitable, but that if one does occur it is likely to be mild -- a conclusion drawn from the lack of deaths outside Mexico.

But he cautioned that the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic, which killed millions worldwide, started out mild also. In the spring of that year, there was a mild pandemic that petered out, only to return with a vengeance in the fall.

"I think we have to be mindful and respectful of the fact that influenza moves in ways we cannot predict," he said.

Moreover, he added, it is unlikely that health authorities will be able to contain its spread. "At this time, containment is not a feasible option," he said.

One ray of good news is that the outbreak may be leveling off in Mexico, where the first cases appeared. Mexican Health Minister Jose Angel Cordova said today that the number of new cases in that country had declined from 141 on Saturday to 119 on Sunday and 110 Monday.

At least 152 people have died in Mexico from influenza and its complications, and more than 2,000 cases have been reported. It is not clear, however, what proportion of those deaths and cases are attributable to swine flu. So far, only 26 of the deaths have been firmly linked to the virus.

This morning, Mexican authorities ordered all restaurants in Mexico City to begin serving only take-out food in an effort to limit spread of the virus. Officials had already requested that bars, movie theaters, pool halls, gyms and churches in the city close. All schools are closed until May 6.

As more countries around the world warned against unnecessary travel to Mexico, soccer's regional governing body, CONCACAF, said it was canceling a beach soccer tournament scheduled for Puerto Vallarta on Wednesday. The group had already suspended an under-17 tournament, the semifinals of which were to be played Wednesday in Tijuana.

Two new confirmed swine flu cases were reported in Sacramento County on Monday evening, bringing the California total to 13. One new case was reported this morning in Indiana, a young adult in the northern part of the state.

Three new cases were also confirmed in Texas, bringing that state's total to six, and 17 probable cases in New York were confirmed. Authorities had previously confirmed 28 cases in New York, two in Kansas and one in Ohio, and more confirmations are expected hourly as testing continues.

New York city health officials also said that two people with swine flu symptoms unconnected to the outbreak at St. Francis Preparatory School in Queens have been hospitalized.

All of the previous U.S. cases have been mild and only two have involved hospitalizations, both in California.

New Zealand authorities said today that 11 residents who had recently traveled to Mexico showed symptoms of the virus. Swine flu was confirmed in three and the authorities are assuming that all have it, Health Minister Tony Ryall said.

Canadian officials said two new cases have been confirmed in Calgary, the first cases in the central portion of the country, bringing the total in Canada to eight.

Israel's health ministry confirmed two cases in that country among travelers, and Spain confirmed a second case there. South Korean authorities said they have found a case there in a recent visitor to Mexico. There is also a newly confirmed case in Costa Rica and a "probable" case in France.

Two cases had previously been confirmed in Great Britain.

All of the cases have been mild, but the victims have been hospitalized for quarantine, standard procedure in light of fears about the spread of the virus.

Cuba today became the first country to suspend flights to and from Mexico, ordering a 48-hour cessation. Mexico has been a major transit point for flights to that isolated country. Cuba has not yet reported any cases of swine flu.

In New York, the accounting firm Ernst & Young initially said one of its employees was among the cases confirmed Saturday, but later backed off and said the case was only suspected swine flu. The victim is the mother of one of the students at St. Francis Preparatory School in Queens, where the outbreak occurred among students who had visited Mexico on spring break. (An earlier version of this story had said the parent was a man.)

The firm said the floor of the office building where she works has been sealed off for cleaning and decontamination.

thomas.maugh@latimes.com
......................................

It is now confirmed that the world health org is going to raise the level to 5 that includes forced vaccinations.

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