http://cryptome.org/dodi/opnav-3500-41.zip (4MB PDF)
OPNAV Instruction 3500.41

Guess who the Navy sees as the #1 threat in a Pandemic? "Extremists!"

32 pages of fun! Below are a few copy and pasted entries I found interesting. Must read.

Navy Pandemic Influenza Policy

3. Situation

a. General

(1) An epidemic is a widespread disease attacking or affecting many individuals in a given community and/or population. A pandemic is a worldwide, global outbreak of disease (e.g., a novel influenza virus), which has the potential to be catastrophic. In light of current concerns, the focus of this planning effort is PI.

(2) Current models estimate that an influenza pandemic may cause 30 to 40 percent work absenteeism and the deaths of two hundred thousand to two million people in the United States.


b. Higher Level Guidance

(1) Reference (a) directed combatant commanders (CCDRs) to conduct execution-level planning for Department of Defense (DOD) response to an influenza pandemic. The planning order directs CCDRs to address force health protection (FHP) and defense support of civil authorities in each geographic combatant commander's (GCC) area of responsibility (AOR), as well as support to humanitarian assistance/disaster relief (HA/OR) operations to prepare and respond to the effects of an influenza pandemic.


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d. Threat

(1) The primary characteristics of the threat during an influenza pandemic are the virus's ability to reproduce within a host. its relatively indiscriminate attack rate, its ability to mutate quickly, and its ability to easily transmit from human to- human. The high transmissibility and rapid onset of severe morbidity can result in large numbers of people becoming sick or absent simultaneously.

(2) Impact of the primary threat may cause political, social, and economic instability as well as the degradation of military readiness_ While adversarial forces will be infected, their readiness and operational capability may not be impacted in the same manner or at the same time as U.S. and allied forces. The degree to which countries can mitigate morbidity and mortality during an influenza pandemic will have a considerable impact on military force capabilities. Countries with more advanced and robust health care systems will be better able to mitigate many of the PI effects.

(3) Key security concerns that would arise from the political, social. and economic instabilities as discussed above include opportunistic aggression, opportunities for violent extremists to acquire weapons of mass destruction, reduced partner capacity during and after an influenza pandemic, instability resulting from a humanitarian disaster. and decreased production and distribution of essential commodities. The prevalence of an influenza pandemic coupled with political, social, and economic instability may result in reduced security capabilities, providing an opportunity for international military conflict, increased terrorist activity, internal unrest, political and/or economic collapse, humanitarian crises, and dramatic social change.

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read the entire section: e. Planning assumptions; starting on page 7.