If one thing more than any other is used to justify proposals that the world
must spend tens of trillions of dollars on combating global warming, it is
the belief that we face a disastrous rise in sea levels. The Antarctic and
Greenland ice caps will melt, we are told, warming oceans will expand, and
the result will be catastrophe.
Although the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) only
predicts a sea level rise of 59cm (17 inches) by 2100, Al Gore in his
Oscar-winning film An Inconvenient Truth went much further, talking
of 20 feet, and showing computer graphics of cities such as Shanghai and San
Francisco half under water. We all know the graphic showing central London
in similar plight. As for tiny island nations such as the Maldives and
Tuvalu, as Prince Charles likes to tell us and the Archbishop of Canterbury
was again parroting last week, they are due to vanish.
But if there is one scientist who knows more about sea levels than anyone else
in the world it is the Swedish geologist and physicist Nils-Axel Mörner,
formerly chairman of the INQUA International Commission on Sea Level Change.
And the uncompromising verdict of Dr Mörner, who for 35 years has been using
every known scientific method to study sea levels all over the globe, is
that all this talk about the sea rising is nothing but a colossal scare
Despite fluctuations down as well as up, "the sea is not rising," he
says. "It hasn't risen in 50 years." If there is any rise this
century it will "not be more than 10cm (four inches), with an
uncertainty of plus or minus 10cm". And quite apart from examining the
hard evidence, he says, the elementary laws of physics (latent heat needed
to melt ice) tell us that the apocalypse conjured up by
Al Gore and Co could not possibly come about.
The reason why Dr Mörner, formerly a Stockholm professor, is so certain that
these claims about sea level rise are 100 per cent wrong is that they are
all based on computer model predictions, whereas his findings are based on "going
into the field to observe what is actually happening in the real world".
Similarly in Tuvalu, where local leaders have been calling for the inhabitants
to be evacuated for 20 years, the sea has if anything dropped in recent
decades. The only evidence the scaremongers can cite is based on the fact
that extracting groundwater for pineapple growing has allowed seawater to
seep in to replace it. Meanwhile, Venice has been sinking rather than the
Adriatic rising, says Dr Mörner.
One of his most shocking discoveries was why the IPCC has been able to show
sea levels rising by 2.3mm a year. Until 2003, even its own satellite-based
evidence showed no upward trend. But suddenly the graph tilted upwards
because the IPCC's favoured experts had drawn on the finding of a single
tide-gauge in Hong Kong harbour showing a 2.3mm rise. The entire global
sea-level projection was then adjusted upwards by a "corrective factor"
of 2.3mm, because, as the IPCC scientists admitted, they "needed to
show a trend".
When I spoke to Dr Mörner last week, he expressed his continuing dismay at how
the IPCC has fed the scare on this crucial issue. When asked to act as an "expert
reviewer" on the IPCC's last two reports, he was "astonished to
find that not one of their 22 contributing authors on sea levels was a sea
level specialist: not one". Yet the results of all this "deliberate
ignorance" and reliance on rigged computer models have become the most
powerful single driver of the entire warmist hysteria.
•For more information, see Dr Mörner on YouTube (Google Mörner,
Maldives and YouTube); or read on the net his 2007 EIR interview "Claim
that sea level is rising is a total fraud"; or email him – email@example.com
– to buy a copy of his booklet 'The Greatest Lie Ever Told'
Fined, frozen and now jailed
The Marine Fisheries Agency was certainly onto a winner when it enlisted the
aid of the Assets Recovery Agency in its ruthless war against our fishermen.
In December 2007 Charles McBride and his son Charles, from Kilkeel in
Northern Ireland, were fined £385,000 for under-declaring catches of
whitefish and prawns in the Irish Sea, threatening the loss of their homes
and boat. But the Assets Recovery Agency, using powers designed to recover
money from drug dealers, also froze all their assets. To pay the fines, the
McBrides tried to borrow against their assets. Now, for this effort to pay
the fines, Liverpool Crown Court has sentenced the two men to two and three
months in gaol for “contempt of court”.
The Climate Change Secretary, Ed Miliband, timed his jibe impeccably last week
when he said that opposing wind farms is as “socially unacceptable” as “not
wearing a seatbelt”. Britain’s largest windfarm companies are pulling out of
wind as fast as they can. Despite 100 per cent subsidies, the credit crunch
and technical problems spell an end to Gordon Brown’s £100 billion dream of
meeting our EU target to derive 35 per cent of our electricity from
“renewables” by 2020.
Meanwhile the Government gives the go-ahead for three new 1,000 megawatt
gas-fired power stations in Wales. Each of them will generate more than the
combined average output (700 megawatts) of all the 2,400 wind turbines so
far built. The days of the “great wind fantasy” will soon be over.