The Post Hoc Fallacy - Lockdown, Social Distancing and Masks

The Post Hoc fallacy goes like this - The rooster crows just before the sun rises, so the sun must rise because the rooster crows. Likewise, government and media will tell us the corona death numbers are so low because of the lockdown, social distancing and the use of masks. But the numbers in countries that have locked down versus those that haven't do not bear this assertion out. So when they say they saved us by crashing the economy, don't believe it. On the other hand, look below where they list "vaccine hesitancy", where people see others getting sick after getting a vaccination, "and assume the vaccine caused the illness", LOL. It can be taken too far. If you are struck by a car and your spine breaks, it was the car striking you that caused your spine to break. They must have an AI working out how wiki articles can be used to push their narratives.

Post Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc Logical Fallacy - Wiki

Post hoc ergo propter hoc (Latin: "after this, therefore because of this") is an informal fallacy that states: "Since event Y followed event X, event Y must have been caused by event X." It is often shortened simply to post hoc fallacy.

A logical fallacy of the questionable cause variety, it is subtly different from the fallacy cum hoc ergo propter hoc ("with this, therefore because of this"), in which two events occur simultaneously or the chronological ordering is insignificant or unknown.

Post hoc is a particularly tempting error because correlation appears to suggest causality. The fallacy lies in a conclusion based solely on the order of events, rather than taking into account other factors potentially responsible for the result that might rule out the connection.

Pattern

The form of the post hoc fallacy is expressed as follows:

  • A occurred, then B occurred.
  • Therefore, A caused B.

When B is undesirable, this pattern is often combined with the formal fallacy of denying the antecedent, assuming the logical inverse holds: Avoiding A will prevent B.

Examples

  • A tenant moves into an apartment and the building's furnace develops a fault. The manager blames the tenant's arrival for the malfunction. One event merely followed the other, in the absence of causality.[1]
  • The Brazilian footballer Pelé is said to have blamed a dip in his playing performance on having given a fan a specific playing shirt; after getting the shirt back his performance recovered. The loss of the shirt was given as the reason for his dip, and its return the cause of his recovery. However, it was later discovered the shirt returned was not the original shirt.[2]
  • Vaccine hesitancy, where people see others diagnosed with illnesses shortly after receiving vaccinations, and assume that the vaccination caused the illness.[3]...

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