TOWARDS A WWIII SCENARIO
THE ROLE OF ISRAEL ON ATTACK OF IRAN

GLOBAL RESEARCH
by Michel Chossudovsky

To consult Part I of this essay click below
The stockpiling and deployment of advanced weapons systems directed against Iran started in the immediate wake of the 2003 bombing and invasion of Iraq. From the outset, these war plans were led
by the US, in liaison with NATO and Israel.
Following the 2003 invasion of Iraq, the Bush administration identified Iran and Syria as the next stage of “the road map to war”. US military sources intimated that an aerial attack on Iran
could involve a large scale deployment comparable to the US "shock and
awe" bombing raids on Iraq in March 2003:
"American air strikes on Iran would vastly exceed the scope of the 1981 Israeli attack on the Osiraq nuclear center in Iraq, and would more resemble the opening days of the 2003 air campaign
against Iraq.(See Globalsecurity )
"Theater Iran Near Term"
Code named by US military planners as TIRANNT, "Theater Iran Near Term", simulations of an attack on Iran were initiated in May 2003 "when modelers and intelligence specialists pulled
together the data needed for theater-level (meaning large-scale)
scenario analysis for Iran." ( (William Arkin, Washington Post, 16 April 2006).
The scenarios identified several thousand targets inside Iran as part of a "Shock and Awe" Blitzkrieg:
"The analysis, called TIRANNT, for "Theater Iran Near Term," was coupled with a mock scenario for a Marine Corps invasion and a simulation of the Iranian missile force. U.S. and British planners
conducted a Caspian Sea war game around the same time. And Bush directed
the U.S. Strategic Command to draw up a global strike war plan for an
attack against Iranian weapons of mass destruction. All of this will
ultimately feed into a new war plan for "major combat operations"
against Iran that military sources confirm now [April 2006] exists in
draft form.
... Under TIRANNT, Army and U.S. Central Command planners have been examining both near-term and out-year scenarios for war with Iran, including all aspects of a major combat operation, from
mobilization and deployment of forces through postwar stability
operations after regime change." (William Arkin, Washington Post, 16 April 2006)
Different "theater scenarios" for an all out attack on Iran had been contemplated: "The US army, navy, air force and marines have all prepared battle plans and spent four years building
bases and training for "Operation Iranian Freedom". Admiral Fallon, the
new head of US Central Command, has inherited computerized plans under
the name TIRANNT (Theatre Iran Near Term)." (New Statesman, February 19, 2007)
In 2004, drawing upon the initial war scenarios under TIRANNT, Vice President Dick Cheney instructed USSTRATCOM to draw up a "contingency plan" of a large scale military operation directed against Iran "to be
employed in response to another 9/11-type terrorist attack on the United
States" on the presumption that the government in Tehran would be
behind the terrorist plot. The plan included the pre-emptive use of
nuclear weapons against a non-nuclear state:
"The plan includes a large-scale air assault on Iran employing both conventional and tactical nuclear weapons. Within Iran there are more than 450 major strategic
targets, including numerous suspected nuclear-weapons-program
development sites. Many of the targets are hardened or are deep
underground and could not be taken out by conventional weapons, hence
the nuclear option. As in the case of Iraq, the response is not
conditional on Iran actually being involved in the act of terrorism
directed against the United States. Several senior Air Force officers
involved in the planning are reportedly appalled at the implications of
what they are doing—that Iran is being set up for an unprovoked nuclear
attack—but no one is prepared to damage his career by posing any
objections." (Philip Giraldi, Deep Background,The American Conservative August 2005)
The Military Road Map: "First Iraq, then Iran"
The decision to target Iran under TIRANNT was part of the broader process of military planning and sequencing of military operations. Already under the Clinton administration, US Central Command
(USCENTCOM) had formulated "in war theater plans" to invade first Iraq
and then Iran. Access to Middle East oil was the stated strategic
objective:
"The broad national security interests and objectives expressed in the President's National Security Strategy (NSS) and the Chairman's National Military Strategy (NMS) form the foundation of the
United States Central Command's theater strategy. The NSS directs
implementation of a strategy of dual containment of the rogue states of
Iraq and Iran as long as those states pose a threat to U.S. interests,
to other states in the region, and to their own citizens. Dual
containment is designed to maintain the balance of power in the region
without depending on either Iraq or Iran. USCENTCOM's theater strategy
is interest-based and threat-focused. The purpose of U.S. engagement, as
espoused in the NSS, is to protect the United States' vital interest in
the region - uninterrupted, secure U.S./Allied access to Gulf oil."
(USCENTCOM, http://www.milnet.com/milnet/pentagon/centcom/chap1/stratgic.htm#US..., link no longer active, archived at http://tinyurl.com/37gafu9)
The war on Iran was viewed as part of a succession of military operations. According to (former) NATO Commander General Wesley Clark, the Pentagon's military road-map consisted of a sequence
of countries: "[The] Five-year campaign plan [includes]... a total of
seven countries, beginning with Iraq, then Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Iran,
Somalia and Sudan." In "Winning Modern Wars" (page 130) General Clark
states the following:
"As I went back through the Pentagon in November 2001, one of the senior military staff officers had time for a chat. Yes, we were still on track for going against Iraq, he said. But there
was more. This was being discussed as part of a five-year campaign plan,
he said, and there were a total of seven countries, beginning with
Iraq, then Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Iran, Somalia and Sudan. (See Secret 2001 Pentagon Plan to Attack Lebanon, Global Research, July 23, 2006)
The Role of Israel
There has been much debate regarding the role of Israel in initiating an attack against Iran.
Israel is part of a military alliance. Tel Aviv is not a prime mover. It does not have a separate and distinct military agenda.
Israel is integrated into the "war plan for major combat operations" against Iran formulated in 2006 by US Strategic Command (USSTRATCOM). In the context of large scale military operations,
an uncoordinated unilateral military action by one coalition partner,
namely Israel, is from a military and strategic point almost an
impossibility. Israel is a de facto member of NATO. Any action by Israel
would require a "green light" from Washington.
An attack by Israel could, however, be used as "the trigger mechanism" which would unleash an all out war against Iran, as well retaliation by Iran directed against Israel.
In this regard, there are indications that Washington might envisage the option of an initial (US backed) attack by Israel rather than an outright US-led military operation directed against Iran.
The Israeli attack --although led in close liaison with the Pentagon
and NATO-- would be presented to public opinion as a unilateral decision
by Tel Aviv. It would then be used by Washington to justify, in the
eyes of World opinion, a military intervention of the US and NATO with a
view to "defending Israel", rather than attacking Iran. Under existing
military cooperation agreements, both the US and NATO would be
"obligated" to "defend Israel" against Iran and Syria.
It is worth noting, in this regard, that at the outset of Bush's second term, (former) Vice President Dick Cheney hinted, in no uncertain terms, that Iran was "right at the top of the
list" of the "rogue enemies" of America, and that Israel would, so to
speak, "be doing the bombing for us", without US military involvement
and without us putting pressure on them "to do it" (See Michel
Chossudovsky, Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran, Global Research, May 1, 2005): According to Cheney:
"One of the concerns people have is that Israel might do it without being asked... Given the fact that Iran has a stated policy that their objective is the destruction of Israel, the Israelis
might well decide to act first, and let the rest of the world worry
about cleaning up the diplomatic mess afterwards," (Dick Cheney, quoted
from an MSNBC Interview, January 2005)
Commenting the Vice President's assertion, former National Security adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski in an interview on PBS, confirmed with some apprehension, yes: Cheney wants Prime Minister Ariel
Sharon to act on America's behalf and "do it" for us:
"Iran I think is more ambiguous. And there the issue is certainly not tyranny; it's nuclear weapons. And the vice president today in a kind of a strange parallel statement to this declaration of
freedom hinted that the Israelis may do it and in fact used language
which sounds like a justification or even an encouragement for the
Israelis to do it."
What we are dealing with is a joint US-NATO-Israel military operation to bomb Iran, which has been in the active planning stage since 2004. Officials in the Defense Department, under Bush and
Obama, have been working assiduously with their Israeli military and
intelligence counterparts, carefully identifying targets inside Iran. In
practical military terms, any action by Israel would have to be planned
and coordinated at the highest levels of the US led coalition.
An attack by Israel would also require coordinated US-NATO logistical support, particularly with regard to Israel's air defense system, which since January 2009 is fully integrated into that
of the US and NATO. (See Michel Chossudovsky, Unusually Large U.S. Weapons Shipment to Israel: Are the US and Isr... Global Research, January 11,2009)
Israel's X band radar system established in early 2009 with US technical support has "integrate[d] Israel’s missile defenses with the U.S. global missile [Space-based] detection network,
which includes satellites, Aegis ships on the Mediterranean, Persian
Gulf and Red Sea, and land-based Patriot radars and interceptors." (Defense Talk.com, January 6, 2009,)
What this means is that Washington ultimately calls the shots. The US rather than Israel controls the air defense system: ''This is and will remain a U.S. radar system,' Pentagon spokesman Geoff
Morrell said. 'So this is not something we are giving or selling to the
Israelis and it is something that will likely require U.S. personnel
on-site to operate.'" (Quoted in Israel National News, January 9, 2009,
emphasis added).
The US military oversees Israel's Air Defense system, which is integrated into the Pentagon's global system. In other words, Israel cannot launch a war against Iran without Washington's consent.
Hence the importance of the so-called "Green Light" legislation in the
Congress sponsored by the Republican party under House Resolution 1553, which explicitly supports an Israeli attakc on Iran:
"The measure, introduced by Texas Republican Louie Gohmert and 46 of his colleagues, endorses Israel’s use of “all means necessary” against Iran “including the use of military
force.” ... “We’ve got to get this done. We need to show our support for
Israel. We need to quit playing games with this critical ally in such a
difficult area.”’ (See Webster Tarpley, Fidel Castro Warns of Imminent Nuclear War; Admiral Mullen Threaten..., Global Research, August 10, 2010)
In practice, the proposed legislation is a "Green Light" to the White House and the Pentagon rather than to Israel. It constitutes a rubber stamp to a US sponsored war on Iran which uses
Israel as a convenient military launch pad. It also serves as a
justification to wage war with a view to defending Israel.

In this context, Israel could indeed provide the pretext to wage war, in
response to alleged Hamas or Hezbollah attacks and/or the triggering of
hostilities on the border of Israel with Lebanon. What is crucial is
that a minor "incident" could be used to spark off a major military
operation against Iran.

Known to US military planners, Israel (rather than the USA) would be the first target of military retaliation
by Iran. Broadly speaking Israelis would be the victims of the
machinations of both Washington and their own government. It is, in this
regard, absolutely crucial that Israelis forcefully oppose any action
by the Netanyahu government to attack Iran.
Global Warfare: The Role of US Strategic Command (USSTRATCOM)
Global military operations are coordinated out of US Strategic Command Headquarters (USSTRATCOM) at the Offutt Air Force base in Nebraska, in liaison with the regional commands of the unified
combatant commands (e.g.. US Central Command in Florida, which is
responsible for the Middle East-Central Asian region, See map below) as
well as coalition command units in Israel, Turkey, the Persian Gulf and
the Diego Garcia military base in the Indian Ocean. Military planning
and decision making at a country level by individual allies of US-NATO
as well as "partner nations" is integrated into a global military design
including the weaponization of space.
Under its new mandate, USSTRATCOM has a responsibility for "overseeing a global strike plan" consisting of both conventional and nuclear weapons. In military jargon, it is slated to
play the role of "a global integrator charged with the missions of Space
Operations; Information Operations; Integrated Missile Defense; Global
Command & Control; Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance;
Global Strike; and Strategic Deterrence.... "
USSTRATCOM's responsibilities include: "leading, planning, & executing strategic deterrence operations" at a global level, "synchronizing global missile defense plans and operations",
"synchronizing regional combat plans", etc. USSTRATCOM is the lead
agency in the coordination of modern warfare.
In January 2005, at the outset of the military deployment and build-up directed against Iran, USSTRATCOM was identified as "the lead Combatant Command for integration and synchronization of
DoD-wide efforts in combating weapons of mass destruction." (Michel
Chossudovsky, Nuclear War against Iran, Global Research, January 3, 2006).
What this means is that the coordination of a large scale attack on Iran, including the various scenarios of escalation in and beyond the broader Middle East Central Asian region would be
coordinated by USSTRATCOM.
Map: US Central Command's Area of Jurisdiction

Tactical Nuclear Weapons directed against Iran
Confirmed by military documents as well as official statements, both the US and Israel contemplate the use of nuclear weapons directed against Iran. In 2006, U.S. Strategic Command
(USSTRATCOM) announced it had achieved an operational capability for
rapidly striking targets around the globe using nuclear or conventional
weapons. This announcement was made after the conduct of military
simulations pertaining to a US led nuclear attack against a fictional
country. (David Ruppe, Preemptive Nuclear War in a State of Readiness: U.S. Command Declar..., Global Security Newswire, December 2, 2005)
Continuity in relation to the Bush-Cheney era: President Obama has largely endorsed the doctrine of pre-emptive use of nuclear weapons formulated by the previous administration. Under the
2010 Nuclear Posture Review, the Obama administration confirmed "that
it is reserving the right to use nuclear weapons against Iran" for its
non-compliance with US demands regarding its alleged (nonexistent)
nuclear weapons program. (U.S. Nuclear Option on Iran Linked to Israeli Attack Threat - IPS i..., April 23, 2010). The
Obama administration has also intimated that it would use nukes in the
case of an Iranian response to an Israeli attack on Iran. (Ibid).
Israel has also drawn up its own "secret plans" to bomb Iran with
tactical nuclear weapons:
"Israeli military commanders believe conventional strikes may no longer be enough to annihilate increasingly well-defended enrichment facilities. Several have been built beneath at least 70ft of
concrete and rock. However, the nuclear-tipped bunker-busters would be
used only if a conventional attack was ruled out and if the United
States declined to intervene, senior sources said."(Revealed: Israel plans nuclear strike on Iran - Times Online, January 7, 2007)
Obama's statements on the use of nuclear weapons against Iran and North Korea are consistent with post 9/11 US nuclear weapons doctrine, which allows for the use of tactical nuclear weapons
in the conventional war theater.
Through a propaganda campaign which has enlisted the support of "authoritative" nuclear scientists, mini-nukes are upheld as an instrument of peace, namely a means to combating "Islamic terrorism"
and instating Western style "democracy" in Iran. The low-yield nukes
have been cleared for "battlefield use". They are slated to be used
against Iran and Syria in the next stage of America's "war on Terrorism"
alongside conventional weapons.
"Administration officials argue that low-yield nuclear weapons are needed as a credible deterrent against rogue states. [Iran, Syria, North Korea] Their logic is that existing nuclear weapons
are too destructive to be used except in a full-scale nuclear war.
Potential enemies realize this, thus they do not consider the threat of
nuclear retaliation to be credible. However, low-yield nuclear weapons
are less destructive, thus might conceivably be used. That would make
them more effective as a deterrent." (Opponents Surprised By Elimination
of Nuke Research Funds Defense News November 29, 2004)
The preferred nuclear weapon to be used against Iran are tactical nuclear weapons (Made in America), namely bunker buster bombs with nuclear warheads (e.g. B61.11), with an explosive capacity
between one third to six times a Hiroshima bomb. The B61-11 is the "nuclear version" of the "conventional" BLU 113. or Guided Bomb Unit GBU-28. It can be delivered in much same way as the conventional bunker buster bomb. (See Michel Chossudovsky, http://www.globalresearch.ca/articles/CHO112C.html, see also http://www.thebulletin.org/article_nn.php?art_ofn=jf03norris)
. While the US does not contemplate the use of strategic thermonuclear
weapons against Iran, Israel's nuclear arsenal is largely composed of
thermonuclear bombs which are deployed and could be used in a war with
Iran. Under Israel's Jericho‐III missile system with a range between 4,800 km to 6,500 km, all Iran would be within reach.


Conventional bunker buster Guided Bomb Unit GBU-27


B61 bunker buster bomb

Radiactive Fallout

The issue of radioactive fallout and contamination, while casually dismissed by US-NATO military analysts, would be devastating,
potentially affecting a large area of the broader Middle East
(including Israel) and Central Asian region.
In an utterly twisted logic, nuclear weapons are presented as a means to building peace and preventing "collateral damage". Iran's nonexistent nuclear weapons are a threat to
global security, whereas those of the US and Israel are instruments of
peace" harmless to the surrounding civilian population".

"The Mother of All Bombs" (MOAB) Slated to be Used against Iran

Of military significance within the US conventional weapons arsenal is
the 21,500-pound "monster weapon" nicknamed the "mother of all
bombs" The GBU-43/B or Massive Ordnance Air Blast bomb (MOAB)
was categorized "as the most powerful non-nuclear weapon ever designed"
with the the largest yield in the US conventional arsenal. The MOAB was
tested in early March 2003 before being deployed to the Iraq war
theater. According to US military sources, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
had advised the government of Saddam Hussein prior to launching the
2003 that the "mother of all bombs" was to be used against Iraq. (There
were unconfirmed reports that it had been used in Iraq).

The US Department of Defence has confirmed in October 2009 that it intends to
use the "Mother of All Bombs" (MOAB) against Iran. The MOAB is said to
be "ideally suited to hit deeply buried nuclear facilities such
as Natanz or Qom in Iran" (Jonathan Karl, Is the U.S. Preparing to Bomb Iran?
ABC News, October 9, 2009). The truth of the matter is that the MOAB,
given its explosive capacity, would result in extremely large civilian
casualties. It is a conventional "killing machine" with a nuclear type
mushroom cloud.

The procurement of four MOABs was commissioned in October 2009 at the hefty cost of $58.4 million, ($14.6 million for
each bomb). This amount includes the costs of development and testing
as well as integration of the MOAB bombs onto B-2 stealth
bombers.(Ibid). This procurement is directly linked to war preparations
in relation to Iran. The notification was contained in a 93-page
"reprogramming memo" which included the following instructions:
"The Department has an Urgent Operational Need (UON) for the capability to strike hard and deeply buried targets in high threat environments. The MOP [Mother of All Bombs] is the weapon of choice to meet the requirements of the UON [Urgent Operational Need]." It further states
that the request is endorsed by Pacific Command (which has
responsibility over North Korea) and Central Command (which has
responsibility over Iran)
." (ABC News, op cit, emphasis added). To consult the reprogramming request (pdf) click here

The Pentagon is planning on a process of extensive destruction of Iran's
infrastructure and mass civilian casualties through the combined use of
tactical nukes and monster conventional mushroom cloud bombs, including
the MOAB and the larger GBU-57A/B or Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP),
which surpasses the MOAB in terms of explosive capacity.

The MOP is described as "a powerful new bomb aimed squarely at the
underground nuclear facilities of Iran and North Korea. The gargantuan
bomb—longer than 11 persons standing shoulder-to-shoulder [see image
below] or more than 20 feet base to nose" (See Edwin Black, "Super Bunker-Buster Bombs Fast-Tracked for Possible Use Against Ira... Cutting Edge, September 21 2009)



"Mother of All Bombs" (MOAB)

GBU-57A/B Mass Ordnance Penetrator (MOP)

MOAB: screen shots of test: explosion and mushroom cloud

State of the Art Weaponry: "War Made Possible Through New Technologies"
The process of US military decision making in relation to Iran is supported by Star Wars, the militarization of outer space and the revolution in communications and information systems.
Given the advances in military technology and the development of new
weapons systems, an attack on Iran could be significantly different in
terms of the mix of weapons systems, when compared to the March 2003 Blitzkrieg
launched against Iraq. The Iran operation is slated to use the most
advanced weapons systems in support of its aerial attacks. In all
likelihood, new weapons systems will be tested.
The 2000 Project of the New American Century (PNAC) document entitled Rebuilding American Defenses, outlined the mandate of the US military in terms of large scale theater wars, to be waged simultaneously in different regions of the World:
"Fight and decisively win multiple, simultaneous major theater wars".
This formulation is tantamount to a global war of conquest by a single imperial superpower. The PNAC document also called for the transformation of U.S. forces to exploit the “revolution in
military affairs", namely the implementation of "war made possible
through new technologies". (See Project for a New American Century, Rebuilding Americas Defenses Washington DC, September 2000, pdf). The latter consists in developing and perfecting a state of the art global killing machine based on an arsenal of sophisticated new weaponry, which would eventually replace the existing paradigms.
"Thus, it can be foreseen that the process of transformation will in fact be a two-stage process: first of transition, then of more thoroughgoing transformation. The breakpoint will come when a preponderance of new weapons systems begins to enter service, perhaps when, for example, unmanned aerial vehicles begin to be as numerous as manned aircraft. In this regard, the Pentagon should be very
wary of making large investments in new programs – tanks, planes,
aircraft carriers, for example – that would commit U.S. forces to
current paradigms of warfare for many decades to come. (Ibid, emphasis added)
The war on Iran could indeed mark this crucial breakpoint, with new space-based weapons systems being applied with a view to disabling an enemy which has significant conventional military
capabilities including more than half a million ground forces.
Electromagnetic Weapons
Electromagnetic weapons could be used to destabilize Iran's communications systems, disable electric power generation, undermine and destabilize command and control, government
infrastructure, transportation, energy, etc. Within the same family of
weapons, environmental modifications techniques (ENMOD) (weather
warfare) developed under the HAARP programme could also be applied. (See
Michel Chossudovsky, "Owning the Weather" for Military Use, Global Research, September 27, 2004). These weapons systems are fully operational. In this context, te US Air Force document AF 2025 explicitly acknowledgedthe military applications of weather modification technologies:
"Weather modification will become a part of domestic and international security and could be done unilaterally... It could have offensive and defensive applications and
even be used for deterrence purposes. The ability to generate
precipitation, fog, and storms on earth or to modify space weather,
improve communications through ionospheric modification (the use of
ionospheric mirrors), and the production of artificial weather all are a
part of an integrated set of technologies which can provide substantial
increase in US, or degraded capability in an adversary, to achieve
global awareness, reach, and power." (Air Force 2025 Final Report, See also US Air Force: Weather as a Force Multiplier: Owning the Weather in 2025, AF2025 v3c15-1 | Weather as a Force Multiplier: Owning... | (Ch 1) at www.fas.org).
Electromagnetic radiation enabling "remote health impairment" might also be envisaged in the war theater. (See Mojmir Babacek, Electromagnetic and Informational Weapons:, Global Research, August 6, 2004). In turn, new uses of biological weapons by the US military might also be envisaged as suggested by the
PNAC: "[A]dvanced forms of biological warfare that can “target” specific
genotypes may transform biological warfare from the realm of terror to a
politically useful tool." (PNAC, op cit., p. 60).
Iran's Military Capabilities: Medium and Long Range Missiles
Iran has advanced military capabilities, including medium and long range missiles capable of reaching targets in Israel and the Gulf States. Hence the emphasis by the US-NATO Israel alliance on
the use of nuclear weapons, which are slated to be used either
pr-emptively or in response to an Iranian retaliatory missile attack.


Range of Iran's Shahab Missiles. Copyright Washington Post

In November 2006, Iran tests of surface missiles 2 were marked by precise planning in a carefully staged operation. According to a senior American
missile expert (quoted by Debka), "the Iranians
demonstrated up-to-date missile-launching technology which the West had
not known them to possess." (See Michel Chossudovsky, Iran's "Power of Deterrence"
Global Research, November 5, 2006) Israel acknowledged that "the
Shehab-3, whose 2,000-km range brings Israel, the Middle East and Europe
within reach" (Debka, November 5, 2006)

According to Uzi Rubin, former head of Israel's anti-ballistic missile program, "the intensity of the military exercise was unprecedented... It was meant to make an impression -- and it made
an impression." (www.cnsnews.com 3 November 2006)
The 2006 exercises, while creating a political stir in the US and Israel, did not in any way modify US-NATO-Israeli resolve to wage on Iran.
Tehran has confirmed in several statements that it will respond if it is attacked. Israel would be the immediate object of Iranian missile attacks as confirmed by the Iranian government. The
issue of Israel's air defense system is therefore crucial. US and allied
military facilities in the Gulf states, Turkey, Saudi Arabia,
Afghanistan and Iraq could also be targeted by Iran.

Iran's Ground Forces

While Iran is encircled by US and allied military bases, the Islamic Republic has significant military capabilities. (See maps below) What is important to
acknowledge is the sheer size of Iranian forces in terms of personnel
(army, navy, air force) when compared to US and NATO forces serving in
Afghanistan and Iraq.
Confronted with a well organized insurgency, coalition forces are already overstretched in both Afghanistan and Iraq. Would these forces be able to cope if Iranian ground forces were to
enter the existing battlefield in Iraq and Afghanistan? The potential of
the Resistance movement to US and allied occupation would inevitably be
affected.
Iranian ground forces are of the order of 700,000 of which 130,000 are professional soldiers, 220,000 are conscripts and 350,000 are reservists. (See Islamic Republic of Iran Army - Wikipedia).
There are 18,000 personnel in Iran's Navy and 52,000 in the air force.
According to the International Institute for Strategic Studies, "the
Revolutionary Guards has an estimated 125,000 personnel in five
branches: Its own Navy, Air Force, and Ground Forces; and the Quds Force
(Special Forces)." According to the CISS, Iran's Basij paramilitary
volunteer force controlled by the Revolutionary Guards "has an estimated
90,000 active-duty full-time uniformed members, 300,000 reservists, and
a total of 11 million men that can be mobilized if need be" (Armed Forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran - Wikipedia), In
other words, Iran can mobilize up to half a million regular troops and
several million militia. Its Quds special forces are already operating
inside Iraq.



US Military and Allied Facilties Surrounding Iran

For several years now Iran has been conducting its own war drills and exercises. While its Air force has weaknesses, its intermediate and
long-range missiles are fully operational. Iran's military is in a state
of readiness. Iranian troop concentrations are currently within a few
kilometers of the Iraqi and Afghan borders, and within proximity of
Kuwait. The Iranian Navy is deployed in the Persian Gulf within
proximity of US and allied military facilities in the United Arab
Emirates.

It is worth noting that in response to Iran's military build-up, the US has been transferring large amounts of weapons to its
non-NATO allies in the Persian Gulf including Kuwait and Saudi Arabia.
While Iran's advanced weapons do not measure up to those of the US and NATO, Iranian forces would be in a position to inflict substantial losses to coalition forces in a conventional war
theater, on the ground in Iraq or Afghanistan. Iranian ground troops and
tanks in December 2009 crossed the border into Iraq without being
confronted or challenged by allied forces and occupied a disputed
territory in the East Maysan oil field.
Even in the event of an effective Blitzkrieg, which targets Iran's military facilities, its communications systems, etc. through massive aerial bombing, using cruise missiles, conventional
bunker buster bombs and tactical nuclear weapons, a war with Iran, once
initiated, could eventually lead into a ground war. This is something
which US military planners have no doubt contemplated in their simulated
war scenarios.
An operation of this nature would result in significant military and civilian casualties, particularly if nuclear weapons are used.
The expanded budget for the war in Afghanistan currently debated in the US Congress is also intended to be used in the eventuality of an attack on Iran.
Within a scenario of escalation, Iranian troops could cross the border into Iraq and Afghanistan.
In turn, military escalation using nuclear weapons could lead us into a World War III scenario, extending beyond the Middle East Central Asian region.
In a very real sense, this military project, which has been on the Pentagon's drawing board for more than five years, threatens the future of humanity.
Our focus in this essay has been on war preparations. The fact that war preparations are in an advanced state of readiness does not imply that these war plans will be carried out.
The US-NATO-Israel alliance realizes that the enemy has significant capabilities to respond and retaliate. This factor in itself has been crucial over the last five years in the decision by the
US and its allies to postpone an attack on Iran.
Another crucial factor is the structure of military alliances. Whereas NATO has become a formidable force, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), which constitutes an alliance between
Russia and China and a number of former Soviet republics has been
significantly weakened.
The ongoing US military threats directed against China and Russia are intended to weaken the SCO and discourage any form of military action on the part of Iran's allies in the case of a US NATO
Israeli attack.
What are the countervailing forces which might prevent this war from occurring? There are numerous ongoing forces at work within the US State apparatus, the US Congress, the Pentagon and
NATO.
The central force in preventing a war from occurring ultimately comes from the base of society, requiring forceful antiwar action by hundred of millions of people across the land,
nationally and internationally.
People must mobilize not only against this diabolical military agenda, the authority of the State and its officials must be also be challenged.
This war can be prevented if people forcefully confront their governments, pressure their elected representatives, organize at the local level in towns, villages and municipalities,
spread the word, inform their fellow citizens as to the implications of a
nuclear war, initiate debate and discussion within the armed forces.
The holding of mass demonstrations and antiwar protests is not enough. What is required is the development of a broad and well organized grassroots antiwar network which challenges the
structures of power and authority.
What is required is a mass movement of people
which forcefully challenges the legitimacy of war, a global people's
movement which criminalizes war.


Author's note:
Dear Global Research Readers, kindly forward this text far and wide to
friends and family, on internet forums, within the workplace, in your
neighborhood, nationally and internationally, with a view to reversing
the tide of war. Spread the Word!

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This Life I've Bungled

This Life I’ve Bungled About to dive deep into the hurt and painNot like living in the fast…See More
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cheeki kea commented on cheeki kea's blog post Southern Lights / Northern Lights engulf entire world.
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Rebuilding Khazaria

"For some reason the original article has been scrubbed, but it still exists in the wayback…"
Tuesday
Less Prone commented on Less Prone's blog post Pregnancy a Dicease?
"Thanks Doc!. This guy thinks he's a smart cookie, but totally fallen under the indoctrination.…"
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cheeki kea commented on cheeki kea's blog post Southern Lights / Northern Lights engulf entire world.
"It does force one to wonder... All sorts of things. "
Monday
cheeki kea posted a blog post

Southern Lights / Northern Lights engulf entire world.

well, well what do we have here then ! ? They are a long way from home. I wonder if anything Else…See More
Monday
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Documentary: Making a Killing, The Untold Story of Psychotropic Drugging

PREMIERING 04/07/18 at 6 & 9pm PT. 𝗪𝗔𝗧𝗖𝗛📺 the Scientology Network on the web: http://Scientology.tv, or DIRECTV Channel 320, AppleTV, Roku, fireTV, Chr...
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Rebuilding Khazaria

"Hungarians show highest rate of Ashkenazi genes after Israelis, company…"
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Doc Vega commented on Less Prone's blog post Pregnancy a Dicease?
"Less so true to maddeningly true! "
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Doc Vega favorited Less Prone's blog post Pregnancy a Dicease?
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