As the dreaded swine flu carves its way through the southern hemisphere's flu season, one Canadian expert has been brave enough to call the threat of the pandemic nowhere near as bad as expected.
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With the near approach of the northern flu season, Richard Schabas, former chief medical officer of health for the city of Ontario, has said he expects Canada to suffer a similar number of cases to Australia.
“When it comes to Canada, the worst we should expect is what they're seeing in Australia, which is slightly worse than a normal flu year,” said Dr. Schabas to the Globe and Mail. He is now medical officer of health for the Hastings and Prince Edward Counties Health Unit.
“But in fact, we'll probably see something that won't be that bad because it's the second time around with us, and by way of comparison, we would not expect it to be as bad as the flu year was in 2003 with the Fujian strain,” he pointed out.
In fact with many Canadians already infected with the swine flu and gaining immunity from the virus, Dr Schabas is predicting possibly even less of an outbreak. Pointing to the figures which show 66 Canadians to have died from the virus, he compares that to early predictions that the pandemic would kill thousands.
“You tell me how overblown that is?” he said in the newspaper report and criticised a sense of panic caused by Canadian official health agency statements.
“In a sense, the Public Health Agency of Canada has painted itself into a corner," he continued.
"For the last five years, they've been talking about how terrible an influenza pandemic was going to be. Then the H1N1 came along and everyone said it was a pandemic therefore it must be a terrible thing, therefore we must make all of these preparations, we must spend all of this money, we've got to frighten all these people and it's kind of got a momentum of its own,” he said.
“Now is the time to say wait a minute. We didn't know four months ago what was going to happen. We still don't know what's going to happen. But we have much, much better information now than we had four months ago.”
thetechherald.com