Did You Know That A 2021 Report Predicted The Monkeypox Outbreak On May 15th 2022 ?

In March 2021, the National Threat Initiative (NTI) partnered with the Munich Security Conference to conduct a tabletop exercise on reducing high-consequence biological threats. The report focused specifically on a Monkeypox outbreak.

This tabletop exercise can be added to a long list of other pandemic table top exercises. In a previous thread that I wrote back in November 2021 (before my twitter account was banned) I wrote a thread entitled “Who Are The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security And Why Did They Publish A Document Called The SPARS Pandemic 2025-2028”. In that thread I spoke of 4 pandemic tabletop exercises that have taken place over the last twenty years such as Operation Dark Winter, Atlantic Storm, Clade X & most famously Event 201.

We now have another one that we can add to the list called “Strengthening Global Systems to Prevent and Respond to High-Consequence Biological Threats". Open Philanthropy funded the report. One of its main funders is Dustin Moscovitz who founded Facebook along with Mark Zuckerberg.

Before I jump into a brief summary of the document it is important to go down the rabbit hole to see how the dots are connected. The report was a partnership between The Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI) and the Munich Security Conference. The Munich Security Conference has received funding of $1.2 mil from The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

The Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI) has also received $3.5 mil from The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation in the name of Vaccine Development.

On September 20, 2017, the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI) and the World Economic Forum (WEF) hosted a roundtable discussion on the current landscape of biological risks presented by technology advancement in the context of the Fourth
Industrial Revolution


Fast forward 3 years and in January 2020, NTI and the World Economic Forum released a report called “Biosecurity Innovation and Risk Reduction: A Global Framework for Accessible, Safe and Secure DNA Synthesis”


From the World Economic Forum press release they speak of

“Rapid advancements in commercially available DNA synthesis technologies – used for example to artificially create gene sequences for clinical diagnosis and treatment – pose growing risks, with the potential to cause a catastrophic biological security threat if accidentally or deliberately misused”


Now that we’ve established who is funding these reports let’s have a closer look at the 2021 report itself which predicted the Monkeypox outbreak (and yes the exact date is predicted in the document)


On Page 6 of the 36 page report in the Executive Summary it says

“The exercise scenario portrayed a deadly, global pandemic involving an unusual strain of monkeypox virus that emerged in the fictional nation of Brinia and spread globally over 18 months. Ultimately, the exercise scenario revealed that the initial outbreak was caused by a terrorist attack using a pathogen engineered in a laboratory with inadequate biosafety and biosecurity provisions and weak oversight. By the end of the exercise, the fictional pandemic resulted in more than three billion cases and 270 million fatalities worldwide”

Discussion among exercise participants led to the following key findings:

  • Weak global detection, assessment, and warning of pandemic risks

  • Gaps in national-level preparedness.

  • Gaps in biological research governance

  • Insufficient financing of international preparedness for pandemics.

To address these findings, the authors developed the following 5 recommendations.

  1. Bolster international systems for pandemic risk assessment, warning, and investigating outbreak origins

  2. Develop and institute national-level triggers for early, proactive pandemic response

  3. Establish an international entity dedicated to reducing emerging biological risks associated with rapid technology advances

  4. Develop a catalytic global health security fund to accelerate pandemic preparedness capacity building in countries around the world

  5. Establish a robust international process to tackle the challenge of supply chain resilience

What is especially interesting about these recommendations is the role the UN, WHO and Banks will have to play (all are mentioned in the report). This seems like a direct nod to the WHO Pandemic treaty which is being discussed at the World Health Assembly May 22-28.


Isn’t it interesting as well that the World Economic Forum 2022 meeting is also taking place from May 22-26.

I mentioned earlier the exercise participants in the tabletop exercise but who are they. It will come as no surprise that it was the usual runners and riders which coincidentally were involved in Event 201. Here are just a few from Page 9..

Dr. Michael Ryan, Executive Director, WHO Health Emergencies Programme

Dr. Ruxandra Draghia-Akli, Global Head, Johnson & Johnson Global Public Health R&D Janssen Research & Development

Dr. Chris Elias, President, Global Development Division Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation

Sir Jeremy Farrar, Director Wellcome Trust

Most fascinating of all though was the predicted date from the document of the Monkeypox outbreak (Page 9). Funny how unerringly accurate they are with their predictions. Just a coincidence of course.

The report also speaks of future triggers. Page 17

“In national pandemic response plans, specific readiness measures would be “triggered” based on factors related to the potential severity of the outbreak, expected delays in situational awareness, and the time it would take to implement response measures and see results”

As was evident in Covid yet again they speak of flattening the curve, using mask mandates and ceasing mass gatherings as well as health screening measures for travel (vaccine passports).

“Although triggered actions would vary depending upon the particular needs of the country, in most cases the goals are the same: slow the spread of disease to buy time and flatten the epidemiological curve, while using that time to scale up public health and medical systems to keep up with growing caseloads and save lives. NPIs such as mask mandates and ceasing mass gatherings were deemed to be critical for blocking chains of disease transmission. Participants generally did not endorse travel restrictions such as border closures, but travel health screening measures were viewed as valuable”

One other coincidence I noticed in the document is the address of the Nuclear Threat Initiative in Washington. 1776 Eye Street. Wasn’t 1776 the date of the American Declaration Of Independence. The document is also 33 pages long but maybe that’s another coincidence and a discussion for another day. Make of it what you will.

If anybody thinks these pandemic tabletop exercises are a coincidence they need their head examined. This is far from over.

Did You Know That A 2021 Report Predicted The Monkeypox Outbreak On...

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