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A Failed Obama Foreign Policy - What to do now?

Foreign Policy 101

If the ongoing collapse of Iraq seems familiar you might be thinking of how North Vietnam took over South Vietnam when the US pulled out.  Similar situation to what is going on right now in Iraq and will probably happen later this year (or perhaps next year) in Afghanistan.

The US finds itself again in the position of having come out on the losing side of another civil war.  Perhaps we are just jinxed or perhaps we don't learn from history and we are doomed to keep repeating the same failed 'nation building' policy over and over.

We can't rewrite history, whether it is Vietnam or what has gone on more recently in Iraq.  What we need to do now is deal with what we have.

Let's establish some 'home truths':  Since the founding of their religion the Shia and Suni branches of Islam have been at war with each other, this isn't going to change, each side views the other as being blasphemers and apostates of their religion*.

They simply hate each other, always have, probably always will.

Put bluntly, while Muslims are killing each other they are not killing us.  A harsh statement but how is it wrong?  

Demonstrating that even a comedian can get it right now and then and when speaking about the Syrian conflict on the Tonight Show of 6/19/13 Jay Leno said:   'These 2 enemies of ours are fighting each other - why are we involved?'

Possibly the only things that we (the West) have going for us in the coming 40 years is that Islam is not one great monolith. It is fractured and may well come apart without any necessity for conflict with the West.


In the short term I suggest we not further involve ourselves in Islamic countries. 

We have not done a very good job so far, why would we believe that we will do better with further meddling?  

Just take a deep breath and step back and let them keep killing each other.


* The average Westerner has virtually no idea of what Islam is about or how it works. You can probably get through life without extensive reading on the subject if you just remember that about 85% of Muslims are Sunni and 15% are Shia (Shii).

The Sunni view the Shia like the Indian Caste system regards 'untouchables', that is they have no use for them and except for a very few countries (Iran, Iraq, Bahrain and Lebanon being the main ones), they are marginalized, have poor employment prospects and are looked down on as being Muslim pretenders.

This dates back to the death of the Last Prophet and Messenger Muhammad in 632 when those now known as Sunni decided that the caliph (successor) to succeed as head of the Islamic religion would be the most qualified and knowledgeable of their faith and those now known as Shia wanted the Islamic leader to be a direct descendant of Muhammad via hereditary succession.

This latter idea was complicated as Muhammad had no surviving sons, only a daughter Fatima and her husband Ali,who was also a first cousin of Muhammad so the Shia have recognized decedents from that linage as the head of the Muslim community.  From here things got complicated and even more fractured, but keep in mind that for nearly 1400 years each side has hated the other and this isn't about to change.
see also:

Views: 31

Comment by consumer activist on June 15, 2014 at 4:30pm
Political Organizer Obama does one thing very well and that is he is able to 'do nothing' with the best of them.  This Iraq dust up between Sunni and Shia is time for him to excell and again DO NOTHING.
No, seriously, he should do NOTHING, take no side, bomb no one.  Just sit idly by and watch a bunch of idiots kill themselves.  We have even thoughtfully provided nearly a Trillion bucks worth of arms, ammunition and vehicles so the Arabs and Persians can now gleefully play in their sand box and blow each other to whereever it is they go to when dead.  See:
Look how successful we have been in both Libya and Syria with our 'do nothing' foreign policy.  I admit that it is really just an accidental foreign policy, Obama is totally clueless on what to do, but that oddly has worked out pretty well in that there are now over 100,000 dead Arabs just in Syria and who knows how many in Libya and Iraq.
So Obama's unintended foreign policy of 'doing nothing' has actually born fruit for the West.  Libya and Syria have reduced themselves to rubble, Iraq is going that way and if we manage to keep our little pointy noses out of it they can kill each other for many more years to come.


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