Washington insiders say he will quit within six to eight months in
at their unwillingness to "bang heads together" to get policy
Mr Emanuel, 50, enjoys a good working relationship with Mr Obama but
understood to have reached an understanding that differences over
he will serve only half the full four-year term.
"I would bet he will go after the midterms," said a leading
Democratic consultant in Washington. "Nobody thinks it's working but
they can't get rid of him – that would look awful. He needs the right
of job to go to but the consensus is he'll go."
An official from the Bill Clinton era said that "no one will be
if Mr Emanuel left after the midterm elections in November, when the
Democratic party will battle to save its majorities in the house of
representatives and the senate.
It is well known in Washington that arguments have developed between
Mr Emanuel, a veteran in Congress where he was known for driving
compromises, and the idealistic inner circle who followed Mr Obama to
His abrasive style has rubbed some people the wrong way, while there has
frustration among Mr Obama's closest advisers that he failed to
smooth ride for the president's legislative that his background
"It might not be his fault, but the perception is there," said the
consultant, who asked not to be named. "Every vote has been tough,
health care to energy to financial reform.
"Democrats have not stood behind the president in the way Republicans
for George W Bush, and that was meant to be Rahm's job."
There were sharp differences over health care reform, with Mr Emanuel
that public hostility about cost should have forced them into
scaled down p